Wednesday, November 14, 2007

Robert T DeMarco Weblog: Consumers ‘Hanging on for Dear Life’

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Consumers haven’t fallen off of the proverbial cliff, but they appear to be hanging on for dear life… Indeed, the August through October period marks the worst three-month performance for core retail sales since July through September 2002
Richard Moody, Mission Residential
The consumer is facing the twin headwinds associated with high energy costs and a negative wealth effect tied to lower housing prices. One of the keys going forward will be whether the labor market continues to provide sufficient income support to prevent too much of a slide in consumer demand. –Morgan Stanley Research
Looking ahead, the sluggish start to the fourth quarter points to a marked slowdown in consumer spending — and in GDP growth. –David Resler, Nomura Securities
Today’s data supports our view that the holiday shopping season could see one of the weakest gains in spending in years. –Drew Matus, Lehman Brothers
And the full impacts from the rise in energy costs have yet to be seen. –Naroff Economic Advisors
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