The basic gist: Growth prospects have clearly weakened, but thanks to fears of specific crises, markets have overshot to the downside. Thus, risky assets are now cheap, safe-havens are expensive.
Growth will ultimately resume, and the policy outlook is now tilted towards loosening, with a greater than 50% chance the Fed embarks on a new round of QE.
Charts like this showing the gap between dividend yields and inflation-adjusted government bond yields to be near record wide levels, evidence of an abnormally high equity risk premium.
Further underlining the firm's point about the cheapness of risk assets:
Here's the big-picture outlook from Goldman:
Continue reading the details
Original content Bob DeMarco, All American Investor
No comments:
Post a Comment