How to make money in the market...look beyond the obvious...spot the trends...and do your homework.
Tuesday, September 04, 2012
The Morning Call--Tuesday Morning Chartology
The Market
Technical
Tuesday Morning Chartology
The S&P remains within its short term trading range and intermediate term uptrend. Further, it is within the very short term uptrend. The question before us is which trend---the short term trading range or the very short term uptrend---will ultimately prevail.
GLD soared on Friday, breaking back above the upper boundary of the short term downtrend. Our time and distance discipline now kicks in. A confirmed break will prompt additional GLD purchases.
While the VIX was down Friday, it remained above the upper boundary of that very short term downtrend for the second day---not a good sign for stocks.
Fundamental
Update on the Q ratio and market valuation (medium):
http://advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/Q-Ratio-and-Market-Valuation.php
Update on the Crestmont Market Valuation Ratio (medium):
http://advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/Crestmont-PE-Ratio.php
The latest from Spain (medium):
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/04/business/global/money-and-people-leave-spain-as-economic-gloom-deepens.html?_r=3&pagewanted=1&seid=auto&smid=tw-nytimes
Economics
This Week’s Data
Other
Households continue to pay down debt (medium):
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2012/08/has-household-deleveraging-continued
Politics
Domestic
The problem with student loans (medium):
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/guest-post-student-debt-malinvestment
International War Against Radical Islam
Krauthammer on Iran and Israel (medium):
http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/charles-krauthammer-the-deterrence-works-fantasy/2012/08/30/20c0a3ea-f2d8-11e1-892d-bc92fee603a7_story.html
Steve Cook received his education in investments from Harvard, where he earned an MBA, New York University, where he did post graduate work in economics and financial analysis and the CFA Institute, where he earned the Chartered Financial Analysts designation in 1973. His 40 years of investment experience includes institutional portfolio management at Scudder, Stevens and Clark and Bear Stearns. Steve's goal at Strategic Stock Investments is to help other investors build wealth and benefit from the investing lessons he learned the hard way.
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