Showing posts with label real disposable income. Show all posts
Showing posts with label real disposable income. Show all posts

Friday, March 30, 2007

Deja Vu Stagflation and the Savings Rate


Real disposable incomes (inflation-adjusted and after taxes) increased 0.1%, matching December with the lowest in nine months. A puny gain for sure and a possible sign that it could be negative next month. A sign of Stagflation?

Real (inflation-adjusted) consumer spending growth slowed to 0.2%, the weakest gain since August. Spending had risen 0.3% in January. Another potential bad sign.

The Fed could soon be facing both accelerating inflation and a slowing economy. And, this is my expectation.

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