Showing posts with label payments. Show all posts
Showing posts with label payments. Show all posts

Thursday, April 09, 2009

Imports of Goods, Balance of Payments View (Graph)


Imports of Goods, Balance of Payments View (Monthly)

Imports of Goods, Balance of Payments

Imports are falling like a lead brick. The drop in the last six months is almost five times the size of the drop of the previous recession. The entire previous recession.

Today's Import/Export report indicates that this is likely to continue.
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Bob DeMarco is a citizen journalist and twenty year Wall Street veteran. Bob has written more than 500 articles with more than 11,000 links to his work on the Internet. Content from All American Investor has been syndicated on Reuters, the Wall Street Journal, Fox News, Pluck, Blog Critics, and a growing list of newspaper websites. Bob is actively seeking syndication and writing assignments.




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Monday, February 16, 2009

Obama May Press Banks to Cut Mortgage Payments


This is a wonderful idea that will sound good but won't help many. If you want to understand the problem you need to look beyond the obvious. The obvious--about 9 percent of all mortgages outstanding are delinqunet or in foreclosure. The number of homes going into to foreclosure is forecast at 3 million plus. But, how accurate is that number. Down here in Florida banks are dragging their feet on foreclosures. Delinquent right now, expect 1-2 years before the foreclosure happens. So, its likely that time bomb is still ticking.

Let's say they gave every eligible owner a fixed rate mortgage at 4.5 percent. How many home owners would this benefit? How many of these delinquent owners can afford that price. Next let's say they "cram" down the mortgage to near market prices? How many would benefit? Does anyone know the answer to these questions? Does anyone have a number on what it would take to bring supply and demand into balance.

Supply and demand is really the critical issue. Here is what we know. An enormous amount of buyers bought their houses with zero down. So they started with zero equity. How many buyers bought their houses with zero documents? How many NINJA loans are outstanding--no income, no job, no assets. How many Toxic Option Arms?

Wouldn't it be a good idea to first understand the size and dimensions of the problem. To define the problem and then devise the solution? I guess not.

From the NY Times:

President Obama’s plan to reduce the flood of home foreclosures will include a mix of government inducements and new pressure on lenders to reduce monthly payments for borrowers at risk of losing their houses, according to people knowledgeable about the administration’s thinking.

The plan, to be announced Wednesday, is expected to include government subsidies for reducing a borrower’s interest rate, which a lender would have to match with its own money.
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