Showing posts with label asset. Show all posts
Showing posts with label asset. Show all posts

Sunday, March 22, 2009

Geithner to announce toxic assets plan at 8:45 AM


U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner will provide details about the government's latest plan to help rid banks of toxic assets clogging the financial system; the Treasury Department said in a press release that it will hold the briefing at 8:45 a.m. EDT on Monday.

The Treasury Department's program involves setting up a new investment fund to buy mortgage-related securities and other assets weighing down bank balance sheets. The new Public Private Investment Program would combine taxpayer money with private funds, aiming to buy loans and free up banks to renew lending.

One of the key terms you are going to be hearing is "non-recourse" loans. This will be sweet music to the ears of monster investment funds like Black Rock and PIMCO.

If you are not familiar with the term non-recourse loans come back tomorrow for a quick primer on the topic. Hint: even better deal than a $165 million bonus. Keep in mind we are the recourse side of the loan.

If you want to read more right now, this article is interesting.
Subscribe to All American Investor via Email

Saturday, March 21, 2009

Is the new Toxic Asset Plan a Mirage?


More and more, it appears the new toxic asset plan is a mirage--it is being done with smoke and mirrors.

Current talk is that the Treasury is going to buy $1 trillion in troubled mortgages and related assets from financial institutions. It should be noted that this means we, the taxpayers, are going to be buying these toxic assets.

The plan is being designed to rescue the nation’s banking system by taking the toxic assets off their balance sheets. Does that sound familiar?

Nouriel Roubini has been writing about this for some time, and if he is right the numbers are staggering. More than the $2 trillion that is currently being forecast.

It appears the plan has three parts:
  • The FDIC will set up investment partnerships and lend 85 percent of the money needed to buy up troubled assets that banks want to sell. This will be accomplished with low interest, non-recourse loans, and lots of taxpayer money. It remains to be seen how purchased assets will be priced. Incidentally, this is how the Resolution Trust Corporation ( RTC) unloaded much of the real estate from the savings and loan crisis--non recourse loans.
  • The Treasury will hire four or five investment management firms, matching the private money that each of the firms puts up on a dollar-for-dollar basis with government money. If this turns out to be part of the package then one can assume they have the managers lined up.
  • The Treasury plans to expand lending through the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility. The plan is to buy up as many toxic assets as possible so that banks can get back to lending. The available monies to the Treasury will be running out of money soon so the key word here is--leverage. We never learn.
This is not very different from what was proposed last September. It has more buzz words and wrinkles but one thing remains the same--lots of taxpayer money; and hope that this strategy will help avoid the inevitable nationalization of banks.

There is one big wild card. Will the banks be willing to sell the mortgages at prices substantially below the prices they paid for these securities. Stay tuned--I doubt it.
Subscribe to All American Investor via Email

Monday, February 02, 2009

Pricing a Toxic Asset to the Market


The government wants to buy up toxic assets from banks. If you look up toxic in the dictionary you will find that when something is toxic it can kill you. We know that banks own lots of toxic assets. We are not hearing much discussion about the problem, how it happened, and who is responsible. In fact, the U.S. government by announcing that they are going to buy "toxic" assets is sending the message that no one is at fault or to blame.

The U.S. government is ready to reward the decision makers-- the management-- of the banks that issued these toxic assets by buying all the bad stuff and letting them keep all the good stuff. This is antithetical to how things work in the capitalistic system. When you manage a company poorly you get fired. When the collective management makes bad business decisions the company goes bankrupt. Surviving companies in same businesses get rewarded because they now have less competition and more potential customers. Sounds simple right?

Why would I as a taxpayer want to own a trillion dollar pile of toxic assets? I would not, how about you?

Here is a novel idea. How about we take our trillion and invest in bankers that avoided this mess. In other words, we supply them with capital to grow. Obviously these new banks would be strengthened and additional capital would flow to them in the form of deposits from, uh, taxpayers.  As part of the deal we require these bankers to buy toxic assets up at "real" market prices. These real market prices will be discovered in the market place. The banks can repackage and sell these assets, over time, to collection agencies and investors. This is not a novel idea. Banks, credit card companies, and the like are in the habit of selling distressed assets and then allowing the new owners of these assets to fend for themselves. In other words, these distressed assets end up in hands of companies that know how to manage them, work them out, and how to turn them into a profit. If not, they go broke. The buyers of distressed assets never do it with government money. Don't be fooled. There are plenty of vultures out there that would love to get their hands on so called "toxic" assets. The big difference here is that unlike the government they will end up owning these assets at a fair market value.

It is true that shareholders and debt owners in the pitiful companies that loaded up on toxic assets will get wiped out, or nearly wiped out. Guess what, they are going to get wiped out anyway.

Here is one thing I know. Banks are not going to sell their toxic assets to the government at anywhere near fair market value. If they do guess what is going to happen, they are going to go bankrupt on the spot.

So it appears that we taxpayers are going to buy toxic assets at well above fair market prices. Does this remind you of the Savings and Loan crisis bank in the 1980s. If it does you are crazy. The model they used back in those days won't work this time around. Oh, and by the way, when the RTC took over the saving and loan or bank went poof.

There is a good article over over on the New York Times website entitled, Big Risks for U.S. in Trying to Value Bad Bank Assets. They discuss the current disconnect in trying to price toxic assets. In other words, a bank might be pricing an asset at 97 cents on the dollar, while the market place is pricing it at 38 cents on the dollar. What price do you think your Uncle Sammy will end up paying?

Subscribe to All American Investor via Email