Is Bearish Sentiment High? (Chart)

You decide.

clipped from www.bespokeinvest.com As shown in the top chart below, bearish sentiment among investment advisers (Investors Intelligence) increased this week and is now tied for its highest level since April 2009 (35.6%).  While bearish sentiment among individual investors (AAII) is not at a one year high, we did see an increase as the percentage of investors considering themselves bearish now stands at 45%.

Fed Series M2, Money Supply Still Soaring (Chart)

Fed Data, M2, Money Stock, Chart



We wrote several months ago about how it takes 12-18 months for increases in money supply to effect interest rates and commodity prices. We are now in this window.

The dramatic increases in money supply, the Fed balance sheet, and the drop in the dollar are starting to weigh on investor confidence.

Stocks rarely rise when confidence dwindles. It now seems we are moving from what was growing confidence in the markets to growing uncertainty.

The risk of owning equities on a short term basis not outweighs the reward. The threat of rising interest rates has also risen dramatically. This weeks surge in Gold is another barometer of investor confidence.

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Bob DeMarco is a citizen journalist and twenty year Wall Street veteran. Bob has written more than 500 articles with more than 11,000 links to his work on the Internet. Content from All American Investor has been syndicated on Reuters, the Wall Street Journal, Fox News, Pluck, Blog Critics, and a growing list of newspaper websites. Bob is actively seeking syndication and writing assignments.Bob DeMarco, All American Investor, May 2009

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