
Notes:
- Unless you are over 50 years old, it is probably hard to believe that the 30 year Treasury bond traded above 15 percent.
- In 1982, you could have bought a $1,000,000 Treasury zero coupon bond for $15,000. This allowed you to lock in a compounded interest rate of 15 percent for 30 years. Imagine investing $15,000 of your IRA or 401K and watching it grow, risk free, to $1,000,000.
- Recently, the 30 year spiked down to the 2.50 percent area and right back to the 3.50 percent area.
- The low yield for the long term treasury bond is in, and rates should begin to move higher soon.
- Interest rate trends tend to persist. They tend to last for long periods of time.
- The spike low in the 2.50 area on the long bond is evidence of a final extreme in long term rates.
- Interest rates tend to go to an extreme when making a high or a low.
Yields on actively traded non-inflation-indexed issues adjusted to constant maturities. The 30-year Treasury constant maturity series was discontinued on February 18, 2002, and reintroduced on February 9, 2006.
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